Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000052 0.000057 0.000062 0.000067 0.000074 0.000080 0.000088
2025-11-16 0.000044 0.000050 0.000057 0.000065 0.000075 0.000087 0.000101
2025-11-23 0.000040 0.000047 0.000056 0.000066 0.000080 0.000096 0.000116
2025-11-30 0.000036 0.000044 0.000053 0.000066 0.000082 0.000101 0.000128
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000080 0.000102 0.000133
2025-12-14 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000060 0.000078 0.000102 0.000138
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000034 0.000044 0.000058 0.000077 0.000103 0.000142
2025-12-28 0.000024 0.000032 0.000041 0.000055 0.000075 0.000103 0.000145
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000053 0.000073 0.000102 0.000148
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000074 0.000105 0.000156
2026-01-18 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000054 0.000077 0.000112 0.000170
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000031 0.000043 0.000062 0.000091 0.000137 0.000215
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000030 0.000042 0.000062 0.000093 0.000143 0.000232
2026-02-08 0.000020 0.000028 0.000040 0.000060 0.000093 0.000145 0.000242
2026-02-15 0.000019 0.000027 0.000040 0.000061 0.000096 0.000154 0.000265
2026-02-22 0.000018 0.000026 0.000039 0.000061 0.000097 0.000160 0.000282
2026-03-01 0.000017 0.000025 0.000037 0.000058 0.000094 0.000158 0.000285
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000023 0.000035 0.000055 0.000091 0.000156 0.000287
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000022 0.000033 0.000053 0.000090 0.000155 0.000292
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000051 0.000087 0.000153 0.000293
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000049 0.000085 0.000151 0.000296
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000018 0.000029 0.000049 0.000085 0.000154 0.000310
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000018 0.000029 0.000050 0.000088 0.000164 0.000339